Markets

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the February meeting?

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the January meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by November 30, 2026?

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 15, 2026?

Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026?

Will Iran target Kuwait by November 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Bahrain by November 30, 2026?

Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in October?

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in October?

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in October?

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?

Will there be between 40 and 59 tornadoes in the US in November 2026?

Will Vox receive between 16% and 18% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before January 1, 2027?

Will Vox win 66-70 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?

Anthropic IPO confirmed by 20261130-2359?

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?

Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?

Will US gas hit $4.10 (Low) in November?

Will US gas hit $4.15 (Low) in November?

Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?

Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?

Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?

Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?

Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?

Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?

Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?

Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Syria by December 31, 2026?

Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?

Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?

Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in November 2026?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?

Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?

Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?

Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?

Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?

Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?

Will Peggy Flanagan run 3 to 6 points behind Amy Klobuchar?

Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?

Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?

Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?

Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?

Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?

Will Chainlink dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% or less in October?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?

Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?

Will PSOE receive between 26% and 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hasan Piker by October 31, 2026?

GitHub.com critical incident by October 15, 2026?

Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in October?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?