Research
live
Connect
Overview
Markets
Analyze
Earn
Research
186,561
open Polymarket markets
61%
of volume in the top 186
$4
median depth within 2¢, long tail
$29.2k
rewards/day on the long tail
Walk-forward PnL, out of sample
482 markets
-38.8%
on capital
-13.1%
on capital
-13.1%
on capital
1.9%
on capital
Long-shot bias
Brier 0.0706 → 0.0670
Forecast skill
136 unseen markets
AI triage pays
−$237
avoided · 31 refused
+$254
earned · 105 kept
kept
105
refused
31
Where the volume goes
Markets that traded $0 in 24h
Polymarket · 186,561
92%
Kalshi · 131,920
83%
Hyperliquid HIP-4 median spread
3¢
Why the engine stood aside
live-information market
41%
ends too far out
31%
price in the tails
21%
toxic flow
6%
resolution risk
1%
resolves too soon
0%
Per-market PnL
457 traded